Bridges may be crashing down, cargo ships sinking in the Red Sea, and the Panama canal drying up but the major stock markets continue to push new highs. If we are in an AI stock market bubble, surely ChatGPT would tell me? The US has gone from &ldqu...
Learn moreThe cash rate was left unchanged on Tuesday. RBA Governor Michele Bullock channelled Paul Atreidies at her press conference in talking about “keeping on the narrow path” to a soft landing. However, in terms of interest rate cuts, we are ...
Learn moreUS tech stocks tore it up in February with Nvidia and Meta reaching new highs. Meanwhile, the Chinese stock market found its inner dragon, Germany’s green economics is seeing red, and Australia ponders strong wage growth, falling iron ore prices, ...
Learn moreGovernor Michele Bullock left the cash rate unchanged on Tuesday. In December, the RBA had been reluctant to act without more information. By the meeting in February, they had received more information and there were no major surprises. Goods in...
Learn moreThe copyright to Peter Pan is now in the public domain. While Peter won’t grow up, we have economies that are not quite ready to slow down all the way! The soft landing didn’t happen in 2023 but still looks good for 2024. What happ...
Learn moreCentral banks are still waiting to see more data before declaring victory against inflation but it seems like the war has already been won. ”Happy Xmas (The war is over).” Even better, a soft landing still seems the most likely outcome for t...
Learn moreAfter raising interest rates at its November meeting, the RBA did not have enough information at its December meeting to justify any bold moves. A decrease in monthly inflation for October was encouraging and the large increase in the quarterly Wage Pri...
Learn moreWith the latest quarterly inflation data surprising on the upside, the RBA raised interest rates on Melbourne Cup Day “Without a fight”. Prior to the September quarterly inflation data, the market believed that another interest rate increase...
Learn moreWith the return of El Nino, conditions are hotting up in Australia. However, the US bond market is also feeling the heat with a sell-off leading to higher yields for longer-dated bonds. These are conditions not seen since the 1980s! Back in the People&r...
Learn moreOne governor leaves, another steps in, no change. In her first monetary policy meeting as governor, Michele Bullock kept interest rates unchanged at 4.10 percent. Interest rates are now on a knife edge with the RBA waiting on decisive data before ch...
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